模糊Petri网在故障诊断知识表示和推理中的应用

针对传统的模糊产生式规则知识表示复杂、推理效率低、单一阈值设定不能满足复杂故障诊断需求的问题,给出了模糊产生式规则转换为模糊Petri网的一般方法和故障诊断模型,以及基于双阈值设定的两级故障诊断推理算法,并将其应用于某型柴油机遥控系统故障诊断之中。通过设置双阈值提高了故障诊断的推理速度和推理效率,同时又能对系统的准故障状态进行检测,及时发现潜在故障,排除故障隐患。     

台湾制导武器发展剖析

台湾通过军购、仿制与自主研制 3种模式发展导弹武器,已拼凑起庞杂的导弹武器装备,并随着装备战略的变化,正在重点发展中远程精确打击能力。     

Production‐inventory systems with imperfect advance demand information and updating

We consider a supplier with finite production capacity and stochastic production times. Customers provide advance demand information (ADI) to the supplier by announcing orders ahead of their due dates. However, this information is not perfect, and customers may request an order be fulfilled prior to or later than the expected due date. Customers update the status of their orders, but the time between consecutive updates is random. We formulate the production‐control problem as a continuous‐time Markov decision process and prove there is an optimal state‐dependent base‐stock policy, where the base‐stock levels depend upon the numbers of orders at various stages of update. In addition, we derive results on the sensitivity of the state‐dependent base‐stock levels to the number of orders in each stage of update. In a numerical study, we examine the benefit of ADI, and find that it is most valuable to the supplier when the time between updates is moderate. We also consider the impact of holding and backorder costs, numbers of updates, and the fraction of customers that provide ADI. In addition, we find that while ADI is always beneficial to the supplier, this may not be the case for the customers who provide the ADI. © 2011 Wiley Periodicals, Inc. Naval Research Logistics, 2011     

Inventory control in divergent supply chains with time‐based dispatching and shipment consolidation

This article analyses a divergent supply chain consisting of a central warehouse and N nonidentical retailers. The focus is on joint evaluation of inventory replenishment and shipment consolidation effects. A time‐based dispatching and shipment consolidation policy is used at the warehouse in conjunction with real‐time point‐of‐sale data and centralized inventory information. This represents a common situation, for example, in various types of vendor managed inventory systems. The main contribution is the derivation of an exact recursive procedure for determining the expected inventory holding and backorder costs for the system, under the assumption of Poisson demand. Two heuristics for determining near optimal shipment intervals are also presented. The results are applicable both for single‐item and multiitem systems. © 2011 Wiley Periodicals, Inc. Naval Research Logistics 58: 59–71, 2011     

初始和终止库存不为零的生产与库存问题

针对初始库存和终止库存不为零的生产与库存问题,通过适当设置需求量,将其化为初始库存和终止库存为零的问题,以便应用重生性质进行求解。     

信度函数在作战效能分析中的运用

针对某些作战效能指标由于与人的行为等因素关系密切而难以量化,运用信度函数探索不确定评价问题。通过建立信度函数模型把指标评价建模为信度函数,并应用登普斯特(Dempster)规则转化为mass函数合成为上层指标进行综合评价。经过实例分析,信度函数模型尤其对战时在考虑指挥员的指挥艺术及士兵士气等非确定性因素的情况下,对作战效能的评估是十分有效的,从而为决策者的作战决策提供一定辅助作用。     

一种基于策略的配置管理思想

对更健壮和更有效配置管理工具的需求已成为企业网络管理领域的一个越来越迫切的问题.针对这种情况,提出了一种新的配置管理思想--基于策略的配置管理,给出了规则冲突的产生和解决策略.减少了因配置信息变化而对网络的重构时间,降低了网络的维护成本,使网络配置更易于进行.     

绿洲农业清洁生产初探

兵团农业是兵团国民经济的基础。随着兵团各农牧团场生产集约化程度不断提高,化肥、农药等在农业生产中大量投入及农业生产技术的不合理使用,使农业生态环境污染日趋严重,改善农业生产技术,推广农业清洁生产(即利用对环境友好的“绿色”化肥、“绿色”农药、“绿色”薄膜)是兵团农业可持续发展的方向。     

一种改进的粒子群优化算法

针对基本粒子群算法存在着收敛速度慢、效率低、易陷入局部最优等缺陷,为了更好地平衡全局和局部搜索能力,在粒子群算法中引入收缩因子,使算法中粒子不仅向种群最优的粒子进行学习,而且向种群中比自己优秀的所有粒子学习,增加了粒子的多样性。实验结果证明,与基本蚁群算法相比,改进的粒子群算法提高了收敛速度和效率,能一定程度地避免局部最优解的产生。     

国有军工集团生产与创新双效率研究

文章利用DEA方法对2015-2016年我国国有军工集团的生产效率和创新效率进行了分析,结果发现:我国国有军工集团的生产效率在近两年整体上有所提升,受行业影响小于自身因素影响,受管理、技术等水平的影响与来自规模因素的影响相差不大;创新效率在近两年整体上有所下降,受行业影响与自身因素影响均较大,无效率主要来自创新管理水平或技术条件的不足;生产效率与创新效率呈现统计上不显著的正相关关系。在此基础上,提出了军工集团实施国企改革的几点建议,以供有关方面参考。